As of June 30, 2019, it makes very little sense to project trends in the November 3, 2020, Presidential election. The two major parties have not even held their conventions.
However, since almost every political poll was wrong and extremely misleading in 2016, Sanityandsense.com will issue the first in a series of Presidential polls relating to the 2020 Presidential election. This website and The Los Angeles Times Poll were the only two preference polls that were proven valid by the election results.
The following are the data obtained as of June 30, 2019, regarding the 2020 Presidential election. The democratic choice was stated as democratic without any name attached. The republican choice was stated as republican without any name attached. The results follow:
The democratic candidate would win three states. They are: 1) Massachusetts with 11 electoral votes; 2) The District of Columbia with 3 electoral votes; and 3) Oregon with 7 electoral votes.
The republican candidate would win four states. They are: 1) Tennessee with 11 electoral votes; 2) Montana with 3 electoral votes; 3) Indiana with 11 electoral votes, and 4) Mississippi with 6 electoral votes.
So as of 6/30/2019, the democratic party has 21 electoral votes projected. As of 6/30/2019, the republican party has 31 electoral votes projected. As of 6/30/2019, 486 electoral votes were undecided. The number of electoral votes needed to win is 270.
All political projections are subject to change when the data changes. This website uses factual content, statistical analysis, voting trends, and a heavy emphasis on voters registered as independents or registered as (NPA ) no party affiliation.
R. Van Conoley