Projection of Electoral Votes For 2020 as of 7/31/2019 (Presidential 2020)

As of 7/31/2019, projects that there are eleven states that are presently designated as purple states or borderline states.  The states now projected as borderline for the 2020 Presidential election are: 1) Arizona, 2) Nevada, 3) Colorado, 4) Virginia, 5) Pennsylvania, 6) New Hampshire, 7) Maine, 8) Michigan, 9) Wisconsin, 10) Minnesota, and 11) Florida.

As of 7/31/2019, this website calculates the Democratic Presidential candidate with 186 electoral votes.

As of 7/31/2019, this website calculates the Republican Presidential candidate with 220 electoral votes.

As of 7/31/2019, there are 132 electoral votes in eleven states that are undecided or purple and too close to call.

Florida was moved to the list of purple states since the projection made on 6/30/2019.  Florida is a state with a history of very close elections in Presidential elections.  Miami-Dade County and Broward County are the two most populous counties in the state of Florida.  These two counties are in Southeast Florida and Miami-Dade’s voter rolls presently have 378,411 registered republicans and 601,717 registered Democrats with 453,944 registered as NPA.  Broward County has 250,568 registered republicans and 592,808 registered democrats with 332,913 registered as NPA.

Note that Broward County has twice as many registered democrats as registered republicans.  There is no question that Broward County with a 2 to 1 advantage of democrats to republicans will deliver many more votes to the democratic candidate.

However, the Panhandle in Northwestern Florida will deliver more votes to the republican candidate.  The best projection for Florida is far too close to call for either party at this time.

R. Van Conoley

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